As the 2018/19 Premier League season beckons, bettors will be thinking about who might lose the race to stay in the English top flight. Where is the value in Pinnacle’s Premier League relegation betting? We have a look at the potential contenders to inform your 2018/19 Premier League relegation predictions.
  1. Premiership Odds 2018 1999
  2. Premiership Odds 2018 1998

The fight to avoid the drop is arguably as close as it has ever been, with a multitude of clubs possibly being dragged into the relegation dogfight. In fact, there is an argument to be made for all clubs outside of the top six to be staring into the abyss come May 2019.

Whether it is a lack of investment, fan unrest, managerial deficiencies or simply a lack of talent, we look at the potential frontrunners for the 2018/19 Premier League relegation betting.

While bookmakers have decided their favourites for Premier League 2018-19, there could still be a surprise team that comes from nowhere and wins the league like Leicester did in 2017. Man City Bookmakers offer last seasons Premier League winners as favourites to win again in 2018-19. Premier League managers ranked by likelihood of leaving before 2018/19 Mon, March 26, 2018 Premier League managers are under more pressure than ever.

Premier League match previews, BetShares and the latest odds

Cardiff

Last year was a record eighth promotion for manager Neil Warnock, but to keep this Cardiff team in the league will most likely need his greatest achievement.

Around €30million spent (so far) from the Bluebirds for the upcoming season, mere pennies compared to the might of the Premier League, particularly when looking at the quality within their squad.

Only Callum Paterson reached double digits for goals in the league last season as goals were shared throughout the squad. Bobby Reid is an interesting signing, a player who scored 19 and assisted seven for Brentford last season and offers another attacking outlet, as does Josh Murphy.

Cardiff’s squad is built more on work ethic than quality, which can get you far in a robust league like the Championship, but can the same trick work against better opposition in the Premier League?

The first three games will likely tell us a lot about Cardiff going forward, playing Bournemouth, Newcastle and Huddersfield; teams that they could well be battling against relegation with and the sort of games that they need to take points from to stay in the league.

  • Read: How important are the first six games of the season?

In the total season points market, it is tricky to call whether Cardiff will accumulate more than 32.5 points, although it is likely that they should be able to and at 1.588*, that market may interest people.

Huddersfield

One of the favourites for relegation in 2017/18, David Wagner has retained all of his key players from last season, including making some important loans permanent like goalkeeper Jonas Lossl.

Only seven teams kept more clean sheets than the Terriers last season, a sign of David Wagner’s transformation from an attacking team to a defensive one.

A principle trend of clubs that stay in the Premier League is usually a strong home form.

Their major troubles last season came going forward. Huddersfield failed to score in 21 of their 38 matches, including all but six of their away matches. They ended the season with the joint lowest goals total of just 28.

This was less about a lack of firepower in front of goal; both Steven Mounie and Laurent Depoitre scored close to their expected goals total and looked a threat when given chances. Their issue was creating chances, as support for their frontman was lacking.

This is no new issue for Huddersfield; the year before they scored just 56 goals in the Championship and ended on a negative goal difference. This issue has clearly influenced their expected points total at 36.84, the third lowest in the league.

The signings of Ramadan Sobhi and Adama Diakhaby are David Wagner’s answers, but can they offer the support going forward while continuing their defensive responsibilities?

Nevertheless, I expect Huddersfield to be competitive once again and they should get over 34.5 points over the season, which you can get for 1.883*.

Brighton

The Seagulls will be looking to avoid the dreaded second season syndrome after surviving in the Premier League last time out. An impressive feat for Brighton considering they picked up just one point from their opening three matches.

Glen Murray had one of his greatest seasons in the top flight of English soccer, notching 12 goals in the process, goals from elsewhere were few and far between.

Only West Brom, Swansea and Huddersfield scored less than Brighton’s 34 last season. So Chris Hughton looked to the Eredivisie and picked up Alireza Jahanbakhsk, a winger who scored 21 and assisted 12 last season. Impressive numbers, yet will there be a similar output in a more competitive league?

  • Read: Which is the most competitive soccer league in Europe?

Jurgen Locadia has also been added to take the creative burden off Pascal Gross, who himself was a revelation last season, scoring seven, assisting eight and created more chances than any player outside of the top six sides. Hughton will be hoping that his signings will add to an attack that only scored more than one goal on eight occasions.

Overall Brighton have kept the core that stood strong for the most of last season, however, they will need a similar output from their creative players to stand any sort of chance. Whether the likes of Glen Murray can lead the line for yet another full season at this level remains to be seen.

Brighton to win more than 38.5 points this season is currently priced at 1.909*.

Southampton

Selling prized assets without replacing them almost caught up with Southampton last season. Sadio Mane, Adam Lallana, Graziano Pelle, Nathaniel Clyne, Victor Wanyama, are some of their core players the Saints have lost over the last few seasons without finding sustainable cover.

Virgil Van Dijk was the recent big name to leave St. Marys, leaving for Liverpool in January, and the defence never recovered (they conceded 1.45 goals per game with Van Dijk and 1.50 with him) as they conceded 56 goals in the league, as many as relegated West Brom and Swansea.

Mark Hughes has invested in Borussia Munchengladbach centre back Jannick Vestergaard, who could steady the ship somewhat, but this is only one hole that needs to be filled.

Just four wins at St Mary's last season was the second worst home record in the league, culminating in just 20 goals in 24 matches. A principle trend of clubs that stay in the Premier League is usually a strong home form, so this will need to be resolved come the start of the season.

Charlie Austin is a great man to have in your front line; the Englishman has scored 13 goals in 21 appearances across the last two seasons. The issue is his injury history. He has started just 21 of Southampton’s 76 games across the last two seasons. If injury strikes again, then the source of goals could also be an issue.

Whether the Saints have learnt their lessons is difficult to decide, particularly as the two seasons before Southampton finished in the top half of the table. If their defensive frailties, in particular at home, are on show once again, then lucky escapes seldom happen twice.

Southampton are priced at 1.751* to win under 45.5 points this season.

Bournemouth

The job that Eddie Howe has done at Bournemouth cannot be understated. A young side in a club not able to compete with some of the might in the Premier League cementing themselves in 12th position and another season in the top flight. It was a major turnaround seeing as they won just one of their first eight games last season.

Whilst goals were an issue for Huddersfield, it was keeping them out that scuppered Bournemouth’s push for a top-half finish. Last season Bournemouth kept just six clean sheets; the joint fewest in the division. If there are similar issues this season alongside a drop in form in front of goal, then suddenly Bournemouth could be dragged into a relegation fight.

Their expected goals against looks no better. Only relegated Stoke City (65.54) had a bigger expected goals against total than Bournemouth (64.39), and their expected points total of 37.64 would have seen them finish 17th and just avoiding the drop.

With the likes of Fulham and Wolves coming into the league with a growing budget, how long can Eddie Howe continue to defy expectations and keep them away from the drop zone?

Bournemouth are priced at 1.555* to win under 42.5 points this season and could be the smart bet in the Total season points market.

Fulham

If you told the Fulham faithful they would be staring at a season in the Premier League last November, they would have probably called you crazy. Bottom third of the Championship and winless in five, they were looking over their shoulder rather than looking towards a playoff spot.

A 23 match unbeaten run that ended on the last day of the season did just that, making the Premier League via a 1-0 win over Aston Villa in the Championship playoff final.

There is an argument to be made for all clubs outside of the top six to be staring into the abyss come May 2019.

A four-year absence from the top flight will end this season, and whilst most have the simple ambition of just staying in the league when initially returning, there is a feeling that, like returning counterparts Wolves, their ambitions are slightly loftier.

Keeping important stars in Tom Cairney and Ryan Sessegnon in the summer was critical for Slavisa Jokanovic, despite interest from some of the Premier League’s top clubs. If they can replicate their form that saw both make the PFA Championship Team of the Year then the season could well be a successful one.

The signings in the offseason have also been promising. Aleksander Mitrovic’s loan spell last season was crucial in their push for promotion, scoring 12 goals in 18 appearances. Alfie Mawson is a centre back that over the past years has had attraction from some of the Premier League’s finest andJean Michel Seri was a surprise signing after the midfielder attracted interest from both Chelsea and Barcelona.

Their possession-based soccer (57% possession across the season, no team had more) may be redesigned in a league with more quality and will likely see less of the ball, so whether they can mould that system or better yet, keep their possession and shot numbers (averaged 14 shots per games last season) up could be the deciding factors. Their expected points across the season was an incredible 15.3 lower than their final points total, so these numbers may not be sustainable as first thought.

It does look as though the Cottagers should have enough quality to see them through this season, but with young starlets, it will be interesting to see if Fulham can keep hold of them for much longer. Fulham gaining more than 35.5 points at 1.469* could be the smart bet.

Other notable contenders

As explained, there is certainly an argument to be made for so many competing in the Premier League this season.

Burnley could surprise a few and struggle, having to focus on the Europa League and outdoing their expected points total last season by 13. If Burnley go far in their first European outing, then Sean Dyche may be forced to shuffle his team in the league as fatigue sets in.

Newcastle have a manager at the helm who has proven he is amongst the best in the league. However, if they lose Benitez, which is potentially possible after sounds of unrest behind the scenes, then the scene could get ugly at St. James Park.

Throughout the Premier League season, you can find value in corners betting, betting on cards or use an expected goals model to inform your betting.

The Premier League fixtures 2018/19 have been announced and the adrenaline is starting to kick in. Not long to go and the new season starts with new hopes, new dreams – and new players. We are going to look at the games coming up in August and September along with the odds for each of the matches.

There are some great opening games, with Man United starting off in style as they face previous League winners, Leicester City on Friday August 10. These are the perfect games to start doing your homework and checking out how the new players are fitting in in their new teams.

Manchester United had a difficult time with the friendlies in the summer, so it will be interesting to see the change once there are points at stake. Even Man City had a few struggles – losing games they expected to win. So, start watching those games, working on your football betting strategies and sit back as the new season unfolds before us

All kick-offs are 15:00 on Saturdays and Bank Holidays unless otherwise stated. Remember, all fixtures are still subject to alteration.

Results:

Saturday December 01

Man City3-1Bournemouth
Leicester City2-0Watford
Crystal Palace2-0Burnley FC
Newcastle0-3West Ham
Huddersfield1-2Brighton
17.30Southampton2-2Man United

Sunday December 02

12.00Chelsea2-0Fulham
14.05Arsenal4-2Tottenham
17.15Liverpool1-0Everton

Tuesday December 04

19.45Bournemouth2-1Huddersfield
19.45West Ham3-1Cardiff City
19.45Brighton3-1Crystal Palace
19.45Watford1-0Man City

Wednesday December 05

19.45Fulham1-1Leicester City
19.45Wolves2-1Chelsea
19.45Burnley FC3-1Liverpool
19.45Everton1-1Newcastle
20.00Man United2-2Arsenal
20.00Tottenham3-1Southampton

Saturday December 08

12.30Bournemouth0-4Liverpool
Burnley1-0Brighton
Man United4-1Fulham
Arsenal1-0Huddersfield
Cardiff1-0Southampton
West Ham3-2Crystal Palace
Chelsea2-0Man City
Leicester City0-2Tottenham

Sunday December 09

16.00Newcastle1-2Wolves

Monday December 10

20.00Everton2-2Watford

Premiership Odds 2018 1999

Saturday December 15

12.30Man City3-1Everton
Crystal Palace1-0Leicester City
Wolves2-0Bournemouth
Huddersfield0-1Newcastle
Tottenham1-0Burnley FC
Watford3-2Cardiff City
17.30Fulham0-2West Ham

Sunday December 16

13.30Southampton3-2Arsenal
Brighton1-2Chelsea
Liverpool3-1Man United

Friday December 21

20.00Wolves0-2Liverpool

Saturday December 22

12.30Arsenal3-1Burnley
Huddersfield1-3Southampton
Bournemouth2-0Brighton
Man City2-3Crystal Palace
Newcastle0-0Fulham
Chelsea0-1Leicester City
West Ham0-2Watford
Cardiff1-5Man United

Sunday December 23

16.00Everton2-6Tottenham

Wednesday December 26

Fulham1-1Wolves
Burnley1-5Everton
Liverpool4-0Newcastle
Crystal Palace0-0Cardiff City
Leicester City2-1Man City
Tottenham5-0Bournemouth
Man United3-1Huddersfield
Brighton1-1Arsenal
Watford1-2Chelsea

Thursday December 27

19.45Southampton1-2West Ham

Saturday December 29

Brighton1-0Everton
Fulham1-0Huddersfield
Leicester0-1Cardiff
Spurs1-3Wolves
Watford1-1Newcastle
Liverpool5-1Arsenal

Sunday December 30

Crystal Palace0-1Chelsea
Burnley2-0West Ham
Southampton1-3Man City
Man Utd4-1Bournemouth

January

Tuesday January 01

Everton0-1Leicester
Arsenal4-1Fulham
Cardiff0-3Spurs

Premiership Odds 2018 1998

Wednesday January 02

Bournemouth3-3Watford
Chelsea0-0Southampton
Huddersfield1-2Burnley
West Ham2-2Brighton
Wolves0-2Crystal Palace
Newcastle0-2Man Utd

Thursday January 03

Man City2-1Liverpool

Saturday January 12

West Ham1-0Arsenal
Brighton0-1Liverpool
Burnley2-1Fulham
Cardiff0-0Huddersfield
Crystal Palace1-2Watford
Leicester1-2Southampton
Chelsea2-1Newcastle

Sunday January 13

Everton2-0Bournemouth
Spurs0-1Man Utd

Monday January 14

Man City3-0Wolves

Saturday January 19

Wolves4-3Leicester
Bournemouth2-0West Ham
Liverpool4-3Crystal Palace
Man Utd2-1Brighton
Newcastle3-0Cardiff
Southampton2-1Everton
Watford0-0Burnley
Arsenal2-0Chelsea

Sunday January 20

Huddersfield0-3Man City
Fulham1-2Spurs

Tuesday January 29

19.45Arsenal2-1Cardiff
19.45Wolverhampton Wanderers3-0West Ham United
19.45Fulham4-2Brighton
19.45Huddersfield0-1Everton
20.00Manchester United2-2Burnley
20.00Newcastle United2-1Manchester City

Wednesday January 30

19.45Bournemouth4-0Chelsea
19.45Southampton1-1Crystal Palace
20.00Liverpool1-1Leicester City
20.00Tottenham Hotspur2-1Watford

February

Saturday February 2

12.30Spurs1-0Newcastle
Brighton0-0Watford
Burnley1-1Southampton
Chelsea5-0Huddersfield
Crystal Palace2-0Fulham
Everton1-3Wolves
17.30Cardiff2-0Bournemouth

Sunday February 3

14.05Leicester0-1Man Utd
16.30Man City3-1Arsenal

Monday February 4

20.00West Ham1-1Liverpool

Wednesday February 6

19.45EvertonvMan City

Saturday February 9

12.30Fulham0-3Manchester Utd
Crystal Palace1-0West Ham
Huddersfield1-2Arsenal
Liverpool3-0Bournemouth
Southampton1-2Cardiff
Watford1-0Everton
17.30Brighton1-3Burnley

Sunday February 10

13.30Tottenham Hotspur3-1Leicester City
16.00Manchester City6-0Chelsea

Monday February 11

20.00Wolves1-1Newcastle

Friday February 22

19.45Cardiff1-5Watford
19.45West Ham3-1Fulham

Saturday February 23

12.30Burnley2-1Tottenham Hotspurs
Bournemouth1-1Wolves
Leicester1-4Crystal Palace
Newcastle2-0Huddersfield

Sunday February 24

Man Utd0-0Liverpool
Arsenal2-0Southampton

Tuesday February 26

19.45Cardiff0-3Everton
19.45Huddersfield1-0Wolves
19.45Leicester2-1Brighton & Hove Albion
20.00Newcastle2-0Burnley

Wednesday February 27

19.45Arsenal5-1Bournemouth
19.45Man City1-0West Ham United
19.45Southampton2-0Fulham
20.00Chelsea2-0Tottenham Hotspurs
20.00Crystal Palace1-3Man Utd
20.00Liverpool5-0Watford

March

Saturday March 2

Spurs1-1Arsenal
Bournemouth0-1Man City
Brighton1-0Huddersfield
Burnley1-3Crystal Palace
Man Utd3-2Southampton
Wolves2-0Cardiff
West Ham2-0Newcastle

Sunday March 3

Watford2-1Leicester
Fulham1-2Chelsea
Everton0-0Liverpool

Saturday March 9

Crystal Palace1-2Brighton
Cardiff2-0West Ham
Huddersfield0-2Bournemouth
Leicester3-1Fulham
Newcastle3-2Everton
Southampton2-1Spurs
Man City3-1Watford

Sunday March 10

Liverpool4-2Burnley
Chelsea1-1Wolves
Arsenal2-0Man Utd

Saturday March 16

Bournemouth2-2Newcastle
Burnley1-2Leicester
West Ham4-3Huddersfield

Sunday March 17

Fulham1-2Liverpool
Everton2-0Chelsea

Saturday March 30

Fulham0-2Man City
Brighton0-1Southampton
Burnley2-0Wolves
Crystal Palace2-0Huddersield
Leicester2-0Bournemouth
Man Utd2-1Watford
West Ham0-2Everton

Sunday March 31

Cardiff1-2Chelsea
Liverpool2-1Spurs

April

Monday April 1

Arsenal2-0Newcastle

Tuesday April 2

Watford4-1Fulham
Wolves2-1Man Utd

Wednesday April 3

Chelsea3-0Brighton
Man City2-0Cardiff
Spurs2-0Crystal Palace

Friday April 5

Southampton1-3Liverpool

Saturday April 6

Bournemouth1-3Burnley
Huddersfield1-4Leicester
Newcastle0-1Crystal Palace
League

Sunday April 7

Everton1-0Arsenal

Monday April 8

Chelsea2-0West Ham

Friday April 12

Leicester0-1Newcastle
Odds

Saturday April 13

Spurs4-0Huddersfield
Brighton0-5Bournemouth
Burnley2-0Cardiff
Fulham2-0Everton
Southampton3-1Wolves
Man Utd2-1West Ham

Sunday April 14

Crystal Palace1-3Man City
Liverpool2-0Chelsea
Premier league odds 2018/19

Monday April 15

Watford0-1Arsenal

Tuesday April 16

Brighton0-2Cardiff

Saturday April 20

Man City1-0Spurs
Bournemouth0-1Fulham
Huddersfield1-2Watford
West Ham2-2Leicester
Wolves0-0Brighton
Newcastle3-1Southampton

Sunday April 21

Everton4-0Man Utd
Arsenal2-3Crystal Palace
Cardiff0-2Liverpool

Monday April 22

Chelsea2-2Burnley

Tuesday April 23

Spurs1-0Brighton
Watford1-1Southampton

Wednesday April 24

Wolves3-1Arsenal
Manchester United0-2Manchester City

Friday April 26

Liverpool5-0Huddersfield

Saturday April 27

Spurs0-1West Ham
Crystal Palace0-0Everton
Fulham1-0Cardiff
Southampton3-3Bournemouth
Watford1-2Wolves
Brighton1-1Newcastle

Sunday April 28

Burnley0-1Man City
Man Utd1-1Chelsea
Leicester3-0Arsenal

Saturday May 4

Arsenal1-1Brighton
Bournemouth1-0Spurs
Cardiff2-3Crystal Palace
Chelsea3-0Watford
Everton2-0Burnley
Huddersfield1-1Man Utd
Man CitytbcLeicester
Newcastle2-3Liverpool
West Ham3-0Southampton
Wolves1-0Fulham

Monday May 6

Man City1-0Leicester City

Sunday May 12

Brighton1-4Man City
Burnley1-3Arsenal
Crystal Palace5-3Bournemouth
Fulham0-4Newcastle
Leicester0-0Chelsea
Liverpool2-0Wolves
Man Utd0-2Cardiff
Southampton1-1Huddersfield
Spurs2-2Everton
Watford1-4West Ham